BRITISH INTELLIGENCE PREDICTED UKRAINE WAR 30 YEARS AGO

Declassified UK

By PHIL MILLER

3 OCTOBER 2022

When British intelligence warned that Vladimir Putin was about to attack Ukraine earlier this year, the spooks’ foresight won many plaudits. Yet their prediction mirrored a scenario Whitehall had long known might unfold.

In May 1992, just six months after the Soviet Union broke up, Britain’s then Prime Minister John Major was being briefed by his staff. They were concerned about a potential clash between Russia and Ukraine over Crimea. 

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